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It seems to be pretty tightly inversely correlated to the quality of pitching, which is a big flaw in the anti-analytics’ ointment

Posted on September 9, 2026 at 11:54:41 AM by brick

It’s easier to drive in a run from 3rd against shitty 1999 pitchers than it is against the arms you have to face today

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Thread:

Can somebody from the anti-analytics tribe explain to me what you want the team you root for to do? Do you want their front office to not try to assess - By brick September 9, 2026 at 10:24:46 AM
- Keep the nerds out of sports* - By Poster P September 9, 2026 at 12:20:42 PM
- The Rockies are slowly coming around with DePodesta. - By dnvrblue September 9, 2026 at 11:54:20 AM
- I think it’s mostly people conflating two very different topics - By plug September 9, 2026 at 11:11:23 AM
  - I view advanced analytics as a must-have, must-use, 'tool". When used religiously in every possible in-game situation (i e. Hinch) is when I have a problem with it * - By Spirit September 9, 2026 at 11:38:29 AM
- I want them to run the god damn ball. Even though they’re a baseball team. Run the dang ball.* - By Ev September 9, 2026 at 10:46:56 AM
- Rockies hired John DePodesta, he was the Jonah Hill guy in Moneyball - By caddis September 9, 2026 at 10:41:27 AM
  - The Rockies hired DePodesta in December 2025, after decades of proudly rejecting analysis - By brick September 9, 2026 at 12:30:42 PM
- I’m sure you’ve all seen the viral Jeff Kent and Joe Giradi rants against analytics - By brick September 9, 2026 at 10:32:36 AM
  - Can you find any stats on the success rate of scoring a runner from third with less than 2 outs in the 80s vs. today? I would be extremely curious to see that.* - By MasterBates September 9, 2026 at 10:38:32 AM
    - I'm sure there are stats on that, but is that even the most important stat in that situation? - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 10:47:48 AM
      - I don’t care if it is important, I am curious.* - By MasterBates September 9, 2026 at 10:56:23 AM
        
        here is a graph - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 11:00:19 AM
        
        Thanks! Interesting it peaked in 2000.* - By MasterBates September 9, 2026 at 11:17:55 AM
        
        interestingly it is at 51.3% this year, was 51.0% last year. Basically right at the average of 1980-2010* - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 12:02:42 PM
        
        What are the Tigers at?* - By Rich September 9, 2026 at 12:52:45 PM
        
        Guess who leads MLB in that metric in 2026?* - By brick September 9, 2026 at 01:00:43 PM
        
        the most clutch team in baseball - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 02:03:48 PM
        
        48.8%, better than the Cubs!* - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 12:59:17 PM
        
        the success rate might have more to do with lowering the pitcher's mound than anything else* - By ajs September 9, 2026 at 11:17:55 AM
        
        It seems to be pretty tightly inversely correlated to the quality of pitching, which is a big flaw in the anti-analytics’ ointment - By brick September 9, 2026 at 11:54:41 AM
        
        Some pitchers were juiced in 99 but not even close to the rate hitters were. Pitchers weren’t bad, they were outgunned.* - By MasterBates September 9, 2026 at 12:01:26 PM
        
        The overall quality of pitching was dreadful in 1999. Look at some of the slow meatball pitches Bonds hit his HRs on* - By brick September 9, 2026 at 12:25:25 PM
        
        Doub it, more on hitting approach. Hitters don't care about hitting it the opposite way, shortening their swing, etc.... Launch angle baby.* - By MasterBates September 9, 2026 at 11:49:46 AM
        
        Modern hitting approaches certainly don’t explain the low % in 1967-68* - By brick September 9, 2026 at 12:27:40 PM
        
        also if the Y axis on the graph went from 0-100 it would be a nearly flat line on the screen - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 12:08:30 PM
        
        but yet the rate is the same this year as it was in the 80s and 90s* - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 12:03:45 PM
        
        it probably exists, I do not know where* - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 10:57:55 AM

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