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Yeah this is where the idea of adjusting the line to get a 50/50 split on betting is shown to be false...

Posted on September 9, 2026 at 07:32:16 PM by ajs

when Vegas believes in their position, they will not move the line much, if at all.

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Thread:

The betting sites are getting a TON of bets for Oklahoma and yet they have not moved the line from OU -5.5. - By GritsGoBlue September 9, 2026 at 07:23:08 PM
- Yeah this is where the idea of adjusting the line to get a 50/50 split on betting is shown to be false... - By ajs September 9, 2026 at 07:32:16 PM
- I don't know of a way to see what volume rec books are getting on either side of a betting line. We are still sort of early in the week so betting limits are relatively low - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 07:31:00 PM
  - 93% of moneyline bets on OU. 94% of spread bets on OU. - By VictorsValiant September 9, 2026 at 07:55:16 PM
    - I know that is what they show (and you can find similar at other rec books), I'm just not sure how accurate (or valuable) that is - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 08:00:51 PM
      - Gotcha. I don’t know how accurate that is either, but I think any info they displayed that is knowingly inaccurate would open them up - By VictorsValiant September 9, 2026 at 08:11:49 PM
        
        Legal liability* - By VictorsValiant September 9, 2026 at 08:12:26 PM
        
        AFAIK they are not legally required to report any of that info in real time - By DoctorD September 9, 2026 at 08:17:50 PM
    - Pic from DraftKings* - By VictorsValiant September 9, 2026 at 07:56:04 PM
- “They” will come to Michigan’s rescue again!* - By LS&Play September 9, 2026 at 07:28:51 PM
  - You are down bad.* - By crumbs September 9, 2026 at 07:29:25 PM
    - I’m joking* - By LS&Play September 9, 2026 at 07:30:54 PM

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