Box scored based comparison, basically the same as WPA in baseball, but imo it's not nearly as precise

Posted on September 13, 2026 at 01:10:22 PM by Daytripper

there's much less randomness in baseball out to out then football down to down, but because there is a denominator (downs, outs) you can compare every game on it.

Back to the board

Thread:

Michigan’s PGWE came in a bit lower than I thought it would: 45.9%* - By LS&Play September 13, 2026 at 01:05:16 PM
- They obliterated OUs offensive line for 90% of the game, feels wrong* - By WOK September 13, 2026 at 01:14:17 PM
  - The talent at edge especially is relentless. Can't wait to see Meadows this week, hopefully, get his feet wet* - By Daytripper September 13, 2026 at 01:15:55 PM
- Yeah, that seems off. Pretty even game, stats-wise, but they turned it over twice*** - By Craig September 13, 2026 at 01:12:54 PM
- PGWE?* - By AuntLilly September 13, 2026 at 01:07:33 PM
  - Box scored based comparison, basically the same as WPA in baseball, but imo it's not nearly as precise - By Daytripper September 13, 2026 at 01:10:22 PM
  - Punt game wins everything.... - By carlson September 13, 2026 at 01:10:15 PM

The Victors

Box scored based comparison, basically the same as WPA in baseball, but imo it's not nearly as precise