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One way that fan bias expresses itself is in judging projected strength of schedule

Posted on September 22, 2026 at 07:55:53 PM by Paul (edited September 22, 2026 at 07:57:59 PM)

Every team is going to have several teams on its schedule that have a wide range of possible strength, depending on how things come together for them. So take a sort of midrange Big 10 team . . . doesn't matter which. If everything breaks just right for them they could go 8-4, end up ranked, and in a non-fleabag bowl. But if things break badly, if key players don't improve or pan out or are injured, they could just as easily go 5-7. What fans do is when considering their own team's SOS they figure that opponent could very well be 8-4 and ranked and a tough out. But when looking at their rivals' SOS, they assume that team is going to be a 5-7 easy win.

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