For expectation purposes, assume Collins is going to win and it enjoy a nice surprise if Jackson pulls it out

Posted on September 24, 2026 at 09:02:14 AM by syrfan

I have a friend who is quite knowledgeable about Maine politics, and he thinks it's likely to be a close win for Collins. She has a much better political machine in Maine and always closes well. This new story probably came too early to decisively swing the race.

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Thread:

NYT/Siena poll has Collins up 49 to 46 on Troy Jackson. AES up 49 to 44 on Rogers. And Pappas up 50-45 vs Sununu* - By crumbs September 24, 2026 at 08:13:14 AM
- I’d hope the bribery story has some stickiness* - By ny1995 September 24, 2026 at 08:25:21 AM
  - For expectation purposes, assume Collins is going to win and it enjoy a nice surprise if Jackson pulls it out - By syrfan September 24, 2026 at 09:02:14 AM
  - This poll is likely pre bribery story release* - By Cincywolve September 24, 2026 at 08:29:03 AM
- It sounds like Jackson isn't much of a campaigner. Bummer that Plather was such a sex pest * - By Bluebuck September 24, 2026 at 08:22:34 AM
- C'mon Mainers.* - By jjwalker September 24, 2026 at 08:21:21 AM
- Collins like a cockroach. Hard to take out an incumbent senator, even in a wave year.* - By rdublue September 24, 2026 at 08:20:16 AM
  - It is almost as if they have inexplicable amounts of funding* - By Dunder September 24, 2026 at 09:04:02 AM
    - at least illegal gerrymandering doesn’t work with senators. We only have to live with USSC golf stamp of approval on political bribery. * - By plug September 24, 2026 at 10:06:27 AM

The Victors

For expectation purposes, assume Collins is going to win and it enjoy a nice surprise if Jackson pulls it out