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Heard a dumb sports talk radio host (shocking I know) going on about how Bo Nix could make a big jump in his third year because Josh Allen did

Posted on August 10, 2026 at 01:16:34 PM by Paul

Using Josh Allen as a model for anything overlooks that Allen's entire career is just a massive outlier. In college he was this great athlete who couldn't really pass. Then in his first two years in the NFL he looked exactly like skeptics predicted he would: great athlete/running threat/bad passer. Then in his third year he completely explodes and looks like a totally different player. Drafting a guy because he reminds you of Josh Allen is basically a buy lottery tickets strategy.

Anyway Bo Nix was a vastly superior passer in his first two seasons to Allen in his first two seasons so the analogy is even dumber.

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