The Victors

CFB_Data Yesterday’s 20-19 loss to Iowa was one of Michigan’s unlikeliest losses of the past 17 seasons. Michigan finished with an 82.8% postgame win expectancy, making it #4 on the list since 2010. Here are all 11 losses above 50%:

Posted on September 27, 2026 at 01:28:05 PM by Bluebuck

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• CFB_Data Yesterday’s 20-19 loss to Iowa was one of Michigan’s unlikeliest losses of the past 17 seasons. Michigan finished with an 82.8% postgame win expectancy, making it #4 on the list since 2010. Here are all 11 losses above 50%: - By Bluebuck September 27, 2026 at 01:28:05 PM
  • The chart makes me question the validity of PGWE. No way did anyone think we deserved to win those 2010 RR games vs Wisconsin or MSU - By Rich September 27, 2026 at 01:32:53 PM
    • The 2010 games are weird. We racked up yards after we were down big against Wisconsin. We were helpless in that game.* - By Bluebuck September 27, 2026 at 01:34:47 PM
    • This isn’t the same guy as Connelly.* - By LS&Play September 27, 2026 at 01:33:54 PM
  • I don’t think this site is very credible if it has Michigan’s 48-28 loss to Wisconsin in 2010 as 66% win expectancy.* - By LS&Play September 27, 2026 at 01:32:43 PM
    • I wonder if that one is just a typo rather than the model being wrong. We didn't win any important stats in that game and we got massacred.* - By Bluebuck September 27, 2026 at 01:40:13 PM
      • MSU 2010 is also shown. MSU controlled that game from the 2nd quarter on* - By Rich September 27, 2026 at 01:40:57 PM
    • That was the one where they just ran every play and we couldn't stop them.* - By Damaniac September 27, 2026 at 01:35:59 PM
      • That was the stuffed beaver game* - By Rich September 27, 2026 at 01:38:35 PM

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