The Victors

The chart makes me question the validity of PGWE. No way did anyone think we deserved to win those 2010 RR games vs Wisconsin or MSU

Posted on September 27, 2026 at 01:32:53 PM by Rich

Back to the board

Thread:

• CFB_Data Yesterday’s 20-19 loss to Iowa was one of Michigan’s unlikeliest losses of the past 17 seasons. Michigan finished with an 82.8% postgame win expectancy, making it #4 on the list since 2010. Here are all 11 losses above 50%: - By Bluebuck September 27, 2026 at 01:28:05 PM
  • The chart makes me question the validity of PGWE. No way did anyone think we deserved to win those 2010 RR games vs Wisconsin or MSU - By Rich September 27, 2026 at 01:32:53 PM
    • The 2010 games are weird. We racked up yards after we were down big against Wisconsin. We were helpless in that game.* - By Bluebuck September 27, 2026 at 01:34:47 PM
    • This isn’t the same guy as Connelly.* - By LS&Play September 27, 2026 at 01:33:54 PM
  • I don’t think this site is very credible if it has Michigan’s 48-28 loss to Wisconsin in 2010 as 66% win expectancy.* - By LS&Play September 27, 2026 at 01:32:43 PM
    • I wonder if that one is just a typo rather than the model being wrong. We didn't win any important stats in that game and we got massacred.* - By Bluebuck September 27, 2026 at 01:40:13 PM
      • MSU 2010 is also shown. MSU controlled that game from the 2nd quarter on* - By Rich September 27, 2026 at 01:40:57 PM
    • That was the one where they just ran every play and we couldn't stop them.* - By Damaniac September 27, 2026 at 01:35:59 PM
      • That was the stuffed beaver game* - By Rich September 27, 2026 at 01:38:35 PM

Log in to reply.