The Victors

This team is (a) way better than last year's team and (b) likely to have a worse record. (m)

Posted on August 12, 2026 at 07:39:57 PM by suede (edited August 12, 2026 at 07:44:39 PM)

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Thread:

• This team is (a) way better than last year's team and (b) likely to have a worse record. (m) - By suede August 12, 2026 at 07:39:57 PM
  • Maybe M is good enough to beat a few good teams, not just the ones they’re supposed to beat…* - By ameriKa August 13, 2026 at 08:03:39 AM
  • B1G scheduling is a joke. Penn St. has a MAC schedule.* - By TMGeneral August 12, 2026 at 07:55:30 PM
  • They need robustness versions of these, where you can tweak ratings and see the impact on win projections.* - By ftb August 12, 2026 at 07:46:32 PM
    • That's easy to do for one-offs (and tbh it wouldn't be hard to build a web app for it either), any specific views (e.g., UM a touchdown better) you're curious in seeing? (nm) - By suede August 12, 2026 at 07:51:20 PM
      • Offense 20th to 14th, because PSU is 14th. ST from 113th to 65th (average of previous years).* - By ftb August 12, 2026 at 07:59:30 PM
        • Call that 3 points (it might be closer to 1 or 2 actually, but I ran the what-if for scenarios where we were 3 pts and 7 pts better). (m) - By suede August 12, 2026 at 08:02:15 PM
          • Thanks much. Think +3 beats where they start us. OTOH, +7 is too much (for me) and still shows how hard 10-2 is.* - By ftb August 12, 2026 at 08:06:45 PM
            • Agreed. There's a reason why we're seeding the "9-3 is deserving" idea. Also, a fun fact: Indiana's end-of-season SP+ was twenty (yes, 20) points higher than the preseason numbers. (nm) - By suede August 12, 2026 at 08:09:21 PM
  • 9-3 is the floor. Fuck the schedule, this is Michigan * - By tem August 12, 2026 at 07:44:01 PM
  • Tough schedule* - By Cincywolve August 12, 2026 at 07:42:11 PM

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