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Iowa and Penn State are both preseason top 25. You can't just assume that there is almost no chance that we lose to one of them. (nm)

Posted on August 13, 2026 at 11:20:46 AM by GritsGoBlue

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Thread:

you know where you can find some really elite opponents and great football games? - By Nikos August 13, 2026 at 10:34:19 AM
- 100% correct* - By mtb August 13, 2026 at 10:49:36 AM
- 24 team playoff. If your team is ranked lower than 24th you probably don’t care if they play after November. * - By jhamm August 13, 2026 at 10:47:20 AM
- OOC schedules should feature elite opponents. That’s entertaining and if you win those games - By brick August 13, 2026 at 10:38:53 AM
  - would you prefer 7-5 with “great games” and an empty January to an easy September and CFP berth? * - By Nikos August 13, 2026 at 10:42:22 AM
    - Michigan plays one real OOC opponent (OU) this year. You’re talking about the difference between 8-4 and 7-5 - By brick August 13, 2026 at 10:49:04 AM
      - The chances we lose one of our non-IU/Ohio State/Oregon games in B1G play is very conservatively 50% (assumes we're a touchdown better than we are today, a top 8ish SP+). (nm) - By suede August 13, 2026 at 10:59:06 AM
        
        To who? None of the other 8 games is scary at all. We'd have to underachieve* - By Rich August 13, 2026 at 11:08:44 AM
        
        Iowa and Penn State are both preseason top 25. You can't just assume that there is almost no chance that we lose to one of them. (nm) - By GritsGoBlue August 13, 2026 at 11:20:46 AM
        
        One of the other 6 games. You can’t just round 90% win probabilities to 100%. Shit happens. (nm) - By suede August 13, 2026 at 11:11:47 AM
        
        Especially in the White House.* - By ftb August 13, 2026 at 11:19:46 AM
        
        Taking away the 2017 year with QB injuries, our non OSU conference losses under Harbaugh - By Rich August 13, 2026 at 11:19:13 AM
        
        So we should be expected to win all of these games with 100% certainty? (nm) - By suede August 13, 2026 at 11:20:24 AM
        
        No, there is never certainty - By Rich August 13, 2026 at 11:24:39 AM
        
        Speaking for myself, it's less about us and more about how freaking good Ohio State and Oregon (and IU/OU to a lesser extent) are. (nm) - By suede August 13, 2026 at 11:27:30 AM
    - Michigan should not be fielding a 7-5 team against any schedule unless beset by major injuries* - By Rich August 13, 2026 at 10:43:55 AM
      - we have gone 7-5 many times * - By Nikos August 13, 2026 at 10:45:17 AM
        
        Aside from RR and Hoke, we have not had 5 losses in the reg season since 1984. We did go 7-4 in 11 game slates in - By Rich August 13, 2026 at 11:07:15 AM
        
        We went 7-5 the season after winning the national title. (nm) - By suede August 13, 2026 at 11:19:41 AM
        
        I guess I subconsciously rolled Moore in with RR and Hoke. We do not lose 5 with Bo, Mo, Carr, Harbaugh and hopefully not Whit* - By Rich August 13, 2026 at 12:58:39 PM
    - No. But for this season, I like the super-tough schedule. Let's learn about Whitt & co.* - By ftb August 13, 2026 at 10:43:42 AM
- And against Ohio State, the hardest ongoing opponent we could be locked into nationally. (nm) - By suede August 13, 2026 at 10:35:33 AM

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